Seattle Luxury Market $5M + This Year Vs. Last Interesting Points

Seattle Luxury Market $5M + This Year Vs. Last:   Should we be concerned?

Looking at the Seattle luxury homes market for only single family residential properties that are listed for $5,000,000 or more, there has only been one sale that has closed this year!  In Laurelhurst,  a Seattle waterfront home located at 4911 NE Laurelcrest Lane was listed for $9,998,000 and sold for only $8,850,000 in March of this year. At face value this stat alone would likely be cause for concern for property owners contemplating selling their higher caliber Seattle homes.

Since the Seattle real estate market overall is on absolute fire, you have to dig deeper to see what is going on. This property closed in March. One sale in Seattle for over $5 million dollars this year so far.  How does that compare to last year? There were seven single family residences that sold for over $5,000,000 in the city of Seattle all of last year. All seven of these Seattle luxury homes – over $45 million in sales –  closed between 5/31/2016 and 7/14/2016.  You can see details of the sold Seattle luxury homes of 2016 here: seattle luxury homes 2016 .  It is interesting to look at the individual stats for them.  The average days on market for all seven in 2016 was 142 days with a range of 13 days to 368 days. The average sales price to list price ratio is 97.43% with a range of 89.57% to 122.11%. Only one Laurelhurst waterfront home in the list of sales went for over the list price of $4,750,000 with a final closing price of $5,800,000 in only 13 days. Another on the list across the water from Laurelhurst – one of the Broadmoor homes for sale sold for full ask in just 16 days.

Fast forward back to 2017 and where we are now.  There are 14 actives in the MLS for single family residential homes asking over $5,000,000. They range in price from $5,395,000 to $15,000,000 with a median price of $7,725,000.  The cumulative average days on market is 248 wth a range of 6 days to 709 days.  Six of these homes will need to sell between now and July 14th to catch us up to 2016 numbers. On the list, there are only two of these Seattle luxury homes that have reduced their price.  Oddly enough they are both in Queen Anne. One has dropped significantly from $7,500,000 to $5,395,000.  It has been on the market for 709 days.  The other is also a Queen Anne home for sale which has dropped their price form $7,500,000 to $6,895,000 and has been on the market for 216 days.

Back to my question – Should we be concerned with regards to the 2017 Seattle luxury home market?

My answer:  not yet.   We need to keep an eye on this.  If we catch up tot 2016 numbers and then sell our all 14 of the current listings then we are going to be pulling down much bigger numbers for 2017 and this should be encouraging for those thinking about selling. This should be the trigger if you are on the fence about selling. The buyer pool once you cross the $5 Million dollar threshold is much smaller so if our market has grown to be able to support 14 sales in one year to high net worth individuals for over $5,000,000 then this is cause to be recognized as a major achievement in the market.

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